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United States Elections

2020 Alabama House Races: Predictions and More

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2020 Alabama House Races

The 2020 Alabama house races: the first state alphabetically, but closer to the end of the list in drama and excitement.

This solid red state sends seven members to the United States House of Representatives. For a number of years, six out of the seven have been Republicans. It remains to be seen what the 2020 Census will do to Alabama’s representation, but until their number of seats change, there is little doubt as to how their congressional delegation will look.

Looking for race ratings on all seven of the 2020 Alabama house races? This is where you need to be. The page is updated as needed. Meanwhile, consider this a wealth of information to help set the stage for the November elections in Alabama.

US House Rating Scale

All 2020 races on Electionarium are graded on a 1-4 scale; there are no tossups. You will never see a tossup on Electionarium.

Election Rating Chart

2020 Alabama House Races Current Prediction Summary: March 29

2020 Alabama House Races - 3-29-20 predictions

Current Alabama US House Map

2020 Alabama House Races - pre-election map


Alabama-01 US House

Republican Hold - Safe

Since the days of Jack Edwards and Sonny Callahan, Alabama’s Gulf Coast has been represented by Republicans. That’s decades of this seat being solidly and uncompetitively red. Despite the fact that this is an open seat, in a presidential year, the new Republican candidate will have no trouble holding the seat.

Bradley Byrne stood down for his Senate race, where he placed in third behind Tommy Tuberville and Jeff Sessions.


Alabama-02 US House

Republican Hold - Strong Lean

This is another open seat race in Alabama’s southeastern corner. Martha Roby is stepping down, but like most other seats in Alabama, the Republicans have the inside track. This seat went Democratic during the Obama wave in 2008 and went back to the Republicans two years later, after which the district was redrawn to cut out some parts of Montgomery and hand them to the 7th District. In a presidential election year, it is hard to believe the Democrats will make a serious play for this seat.


Alabama-03 US House

Republican Hold - Safe

The 3rd District has gotten more Republican over the years. Mike Rogers, the incumbent seeking re-election, has consistently won large victories with over 60 percent of the vote. There is little to suggest that the Republicans have any chance of losing this seat.


Alabama-04 US House

Republican Hold - Very Safe

Aderholt has represented the 4th District forever and a week. In the past decade, he has run up some of the biggest congressional victories in the state in contested races. This is one of the safest Republican seats in the country.


Alabama-05 US House

Republican Hold - Very Safe

Believe it or not, a little over a decade ago, this district was still in its ancestrally-blue form. Ever since Parker Griffith switched to a Republican in 2009, the district has never entertained voting for a Democrat since. The politics of the South have changed a lot since George W. Bush’s first term, and what once was a blue-for-a-century seat does not even have a Democratic candidate today.


Alabama-06 US House

Republican Hold - Very Safe

You will not find too many redder districts in Alabama or in the United States than the 6th District. Carefully drawn to encompass the Birmingham suburbs but very little of Birmingham itself, Donald Trump will have no trouble winning the area in November, nor will Gary Palmer against token opposition.


Alabama-07 US House

Democratic Hold - Very Safe

Alabama’s 7th District is the lone Democratic seat in the state, and is going to remain that way for the foreseeable future. It was drawn to take in many areas with high African-American populations, like Birmingham, parts of Montgomery, and Tuscaloosa. As such, it is a safe Democratic seat, and one with no major-party opposition to Terri Sewell.

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