We’re going to make our predictions for the 2020 Nebraska House races in just a moment.
As you may know, and as it has been for a long time (let’s say almost 60 years), there are three US House districts in the home of the Huskers. Two of them are rarely, if ever, competitive in the general election. One gets all of the attention, should there be any attention required. That is the 2nd District, containing Omaha and the immediate surrounding areas. Some may remember that as the seat which gave an electoral vote to Barack Obama in 2008, the first time any Democrat had gotten a Nebraska electoral vote since Lyndon Johnson’s landslide against Barry Goldwater.
In fact, you have go to back to a time in which Nebraska had more than three seats, the early 1960s, to see the Democrats having more than one seat here. When was the las time the Democrats had a majority of Nebraska’s seats? During the Great Depression in the 1930s, when Democrats won everywhere for a little while during that decade. However, once that receded, the Democrats never quite made a comeback in Nebraska. They won elections here and there, and even had both Senate seats for a period in the 1980s and 1990s, but when it comes to the House, not much has gone their way. Democrats won the 2nd District in 2014 for the first time in decades, only to lose it again two years later.
What’s in store for Nebraska’s members of Congress this time? We’ve got your race ratings below.
NE US House Rating Scale
Here’s the scale showing how we rate the 2020 Nebraska House races, and you will not encounter a tossup.
2020 Nebraska House Races Current Prediction Summary: May 9
Current Nebraska US House Map
Nebraska’s 1st District has been in GOP hands since the 1960s. Jeff Fortenberry doesn’t win by big enough margins in Democratic-leaning years (like 2018 was and this one figures to be) to qualify for us to call him “very safe,” but he’s not going to lose sleep over it. The odds of the Democrats prying him out of this seat are minimal at best.
Here’s the only seat in Nebraska that matters from a competition standpoint. Republicans have won this seat often in recent times, but not by what we would call landslide proportions. You could even say six out of the last seven elections in the Nebraska 2nd were close races. Nevertheless, the Republicans seem to find a way to win here even though the wins are not pretty. Don Bacon has won a few times here at this point and he’s favored to win again, though the 2nd District has a habit of producing squeakers.
If you thought the 1st District was Republican, check out this one. This seat is about as solid red as any you will see in the country. The Democrats winning here would be something like the Republicans picking up a seat in Manhattan or Brooklyn.