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United States Elections

2020 North Dakota House Race: Predictions and More

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2020 North Dakota House Race

Let’s get down to who is winning the 2020 North Dakota House race.

North Dakota is a state of about three-quarters of a million residents. It’s far too small (in terms of population, anyway) to have more than one member of Congress, which it hasn’t in almost 50 years. However, until the Tea Party wave of 2010, the Democrats held this seat uninterrupted for 30 years. In fact, as recently as around 2010, North Dakota’s entire congressional delegation were Democrats. That’s quite the feat in what has never particularly been a Democratic state. Those days are also quite over.

Kelly Armstrong took over the House seat after the 2018 election, with Kevin Cramer getting elected to the Senate. How do we think Armstrong’s re-election run will go with Donald Trump topping the ticket in this red state? You may have figured it out already, but we suggest you read on for specifics on our race rating.

US House Rating Scale

The 2020 North Dakota House race cannot be a tossup on Electionarium; we rate it on the below scale.

ND Election Rating Chart

2020 North Dakota House Race Current Prediction Summary: May 16

2020 North Dakota House Races - 5-16-20 predictions

North Dakota-At Large

North Dakota-AL US House

Republican Hold - Safe

The last time the Republicans won this race by less than 15 points was in 2012 — and they won by 13 then. When they picked up the seat in 2010, it wasn’t very close then, either. Republicans have won this seat for a decade with little opposition, with their closest race being a 10-point win over an incumbent Democrat. The Democrats losing by only 24 points in the Blue Wave year was a decent result for them given the trend. With Trump winning this state big in November, Kelly Armstrong is in very good shape for re-election.

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