United States Elections

2020 South Dakota House Race: Predictions and More

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2020 South Dakota House Race

This article about the 2020 South Dakota House race may prove a little boring.

Because content is key, we are going to drag this out a little before telling you why this is not a race to watch. Nobody wants to go write an article about a lousy House race, but we said we were going to review all 435 and that’s what we’re going to do.

South Dakota has always been a pretty Republican state. For a very brief time in the mid-2000s, however, Democrats controlled all three seats in the Congressional delegation. While South Dakota electing Democrats on the state level is rare these days – for example, they have not elected a Democrat as governor since the 1970s – they do send them to Congress every now and then. However, since now-governor Kristi Noem picked up the sole House seat in 2010, the GOP has had little trouble holding it. In 2015, the Congressional delegation became all-Republican for the first time in over 50 years prior.

The incumbent congressman for South Dakota’s at-large district is Dusty Johnson, first elected in 2018. We already know what kind of a re-election race he’s facing, but now, we will get into why. See our predictions below for the 2020 South Dakota House race.

SD US House Rating Scale

We don’t do tossups, so the scale you see for our 2020 South Dakota House race ratings won’t include them.

SD Election Rating Chart

2020 South Dakota House Race Current Prediction Summary: May 23

2020 South Dakota House Races - 5-23-20 predictions

South Dakota-AL

South Dakota-AL US House

Republican Hold - Very Safe SD-AL

Dusty Johnson has no Democratic opposition in the 2020 election. Now, I know what you’re thinking, I just read all that up there to get to this? What makes that interesting is that no Democrat was able to qualify for the ballot.1 Johnson is guaranteed re-election and this one is staying in the GOP column.

SD House References

1: Eric Mayer, “South Dakota’s 2020 primary election: What you need to know,” KELO-TV, May 13, 2020, KELO Link)

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