We are about to confirm how we see the 2020 West Virginia House races going.
Perhaps in no state in modern memory has a political entity evaporated as quickly as the West Virginia Democratic Party. At the start of the 2010s, the Democrats had a supermajority in the state legislature and held every office of note in the Mountain State. Shelley Moore Capito winning a House seat in 2000 along with George W. Bush carrying the state was a big deal, as she was all but the entire GOP bench. Now look at the Democrats in this state: just one state office held, Joe Manchin has to tack to the right to keep his seat, no US House members, and Democrats are in the minority in Charleston.
As voters abandoned the Democrats in West-by-God, there’s only one place they could have gone. Will West Virginia stand by the Republicans in 2020? You’re about to see our predictions for the Mountain State’s three House seats.
WV US House Rating Scale
This is the scale showing how we will rate the 2020 West Virginia House races; no tossups allowed.
2020 West Virginia House Races Current Prediction Summary: May 30
Current West Virginia US House Map
David McKinley did not have a difficult race in 2018. It sure does not seem like he will have a tough time in 2020, either. Donald Trump will win this district by (about) a million points, but McKinley won’t need the help.
2018 could have been easier for Mooney in this Charleston-based district, but in the end, nobody in the GOP was too worried about it. They are bound to be less worried in 2020 as, again, Donald Trump will win the 2nd District by a wide margin. Coattails will drag a lot of Republicans over the finish line and then some.
Democrats thought they had a chance in the 3rd District last time with Richard Ojeda. However, what was considered a hot race turned out not to be on election night, with Carol Miller winning by 13 points. She took the Democrats’ best shot in 2018 and this election figures to be much easier.