Denmark Election 2019 Results: Left Likely to Form Government

Denmark Election 2019

When you examine below the Denmark election 2019 results, it will be clear that Denmark is about to have a new prime minister.

The curiosity of a country such as Denmark, which like Belgium has a number of political parties, is that the sitting prime minister’s party can gain seats but still lose the election. That is what happened for Lars Løkke Rasmussen, leader of centre-right party Venstre (V), who will lose his premiership over the 2019 election results.

Mette Frederiksen, the leader of the Social Democrats (A), is slated to become the country’s second female prime minister.

Dig into the results with us, won’t you?

Denmark Election 2019 Results: Seats Won

2019 Denmark Election Results - Seats

Left Bloc or “Red Bloc”

Frederiksen’s Social Democrats gained only one seat, but were helped by potential coalition partners doing well. The big winners in the “left bloc” were the Social Liberals, otherwise known as the Radical Left (B), who gained eight seats in the Folketing, Denmark’s parliament. Right behind them were the Socialist People’s Party (SF) who picked up seven seats overall. Just one possible coalition partner, the Red-Green Alliance (Ø), lost a seat.

Those four parties together combine for a total of 91 seats, constituting a majority of the legislature’s 179 seats. With the support of The Alternative (Å), this could increase to 96, but they are unlikely to support Frederiksen specifically.1

Keep in mind there are also minor parties in play in the Faroe Islands and Greenland, which have four total seats between the two lands. The Faroe Social Democratic Party and Greenland’s Siumut also lean left, and both have a seat each.

In all, the left bloc gained 15 seats.

Right Bloc or “Blue Bloc”

As opinion polls suggested, it was not the night for Rasmussen or his right bloc of parties. This is despite the fact that Venstre gained nine seats.

The most serious damage to his bloc came thanks to a collapse of the Danish People’s Party (O). They lost 21 seats in the Folketing following a second-place finish in the 2015 election. Their vote cratered from about 21 percent four years ago to just below nine percent in 2019.

It was not just the Danish People’s Party’s fault, however. The Liberal Alliance (I) dropped nine seats down to only four. This party cleared the two-percent seat threshold by only 10,880 votes nationwide, and won the fewest votes of any Danish mainland party that took seats.2 Between O and I, the right bloc shed 30 seats overall. Venstre and the Conservative People’s Party (C) made back 15 of them, but still 15 too few to hold their prior total.

Denmark Election 2019 Results: The Bottom Line

Just four years after a change election in Denmark, the Danish people changed it back to what they had before – but they are getting used to it. Putting it another way:

  • 2011: Right government defeated
  • 2015: Left government defeated
  • 2019: Right government defeated

If recent political history is any guide, Mette Frederiksen may only have four years to enjoy being prime minister. Some countries have very infrequent change elections, while Denmark just turned away first-term governments in consecutive polls.

The right bloc was behind in the polls for much of their term in office. It was not until the Eurosceptic, anti-immigration Danish People’s Party crashed earlier in 2019, however, that their chances of winning the election became bleak.3

This vote comes just weeks after Europe’s centre-left improved in the EU Parliament elections, and after nearby Belgium also handed some gains to the centre-left.

References

1: “With election looming, is Denmark’s opposition irreversibly split over immigration?” (by Michael Barrett, Thelocal.dk web site, published 2 April 2019, accessed 7 June 2019)

2: “2019 Danish General Election” (Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia web site, accessed 7 June 2019)

3: “Opinion polling for the 2019 Danish general election” (Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia web site, accessed 7 June 2019)

X: We have more on European elections at Electionarium here

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