Canada Election 2019 - Nova Scotia

Will the count for Nova Scotia Federal Election 2019 reveal a shift back to the province’s normal of three parties represented?

Prior to the 2015 Liberal sweep of Atlantic Canada, Nova Scotia’s electoral map was colourful. In addition to Liberal red, there was Conservative blue and NDP orange scattered around the province. Conservatives tended to do well in Peter MacKay’s old stomping grounds and in areas north of Halifax, while Halifax itself and Dartmouth had an orange tinge. All of that changed four years ago, which left the other two parties to hope that 2019 would be the year they make a comeback.

Since early 2019, Liberal poll numbers have been down across Canada, with the Atlantic provinces as no exception. Consider also that there is nowhere to go but down for Justin Trudeau and the Liberal Party, having already won every seat in Nova Scotia. Does the blue come back through? Will there be more-ange orange? (That was terrible; I’m sorry.) Can the Liberals defy the odds and keep the entire province red? Finally, is there room for another player, like the momentum-building Green Party?

See the Nova Scotia federal election seat predictions below, never with any tossups. When you are all set with this province, go back to the main Canadian federal election prediction or jump to another province.

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Nova Scotia Federal Election 2019 Seat-by-Seat Predictions

Cape Breton—Canso
Rodger Cuzner (Lib) – Not Seeking Re-Election
Prediction: Lib Hold
Central Nova
Sean Fraser (Lib)
Prediction: CPC GAIN from Lib
Bill Casey (Lib) — Not Seeking Re-Election
Prediction: Lib Hold
Dartmouth—Cole Harbour
Darren Fisher (Lib)
Prediction: Lib Hold
Andy Fillmore (Lib)
Prediction: NDP GAIN from Lib
Halifax West
Geoff Regan (Lib)
Prediction: Lib Hold
Vacant — Formerly Lib
Prediction: Lib Hold
Darrell Samson (Lib)
Prediction: Lib Hold
South Shore—St. Margarets
Bernadette Jordan (Lib)
Prediction: Lib Hold
Mark Eyking (Lib) — Not Seeking Re-Election
Prediction: Lib Hold
West Nova
Colin Fraser (Lib) — Not Seeking Re-Election
Prediction: Lib Hold

October 18, 2019 Final Nova Scotia Predictions Update

NS predicted seat totals: Lib 9, NDP 1, CPC 1.

Central Nova remains the best bet for the CPC though on a very good night, they could get two or three (West Nova, South Shore-St. Margaret’s). The NDP could get two on a good night but we see them sneaking back in with the NDP vote back on the rise. The Liberals will hold at least seven of the 11 seats here.

September 21, 2019 Nova Scotia Predictions Update

NS predicted seat totals: Lib 10, CPC 1.

Anything more than one seat for the CPC would be gravy. Central Nova is their most fertile electoral ground here, and they have star candidate/country singer George Canyon running. Should they fail here, it will be a Liberal sweep again.

July 15, 2019 Nova Scotia Predictions Update

NS predicted seat totals: Lib 10, CPC 1.

It will be a long comeback road for the Conservatives in Nova Scotia. Should any seat fall, and if indeed the Conservative vote is in better shape this time, it will be Central Nova. The NDP would also normally be in contention for a seat or two in Nova Scotia, but their poll numbers make that seem hard to believe.